Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

November 21

<1%

November 30

December 31

83%

$1m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

16%

chance

$33m Vol.

Fed decision in December?

50+ bps decrease

25 bps decrease

65%

No change

33%

25+ bps increase

<1%

$142m Vol.

How long will Trump and Zohran Mamdani shake hands on Friday?

No handshake

<1%

<2s

95%

2–6s

6–10s

15s+

<1%

$184k Vol.

Northwestern Wildcats

35%

Virginia Cavaliers

66%

Live

$617k Vol.

•CBB

Wild

47%

Penguins

54%

$3m Vol.

•NHL• 3:00 AM

Pacers

54%

Cavaliers

46%

$702k Vol.

•NBA• 3:00 AM

Heat

52%

Bulls

48%

$779k Vol.

•NBA• 4:00 AM

Hurricanes

61%

Jets

40%

$454k Vol.

•NHL• 4:00 AM

What will Trump say during Mamdani events on November 21?

Little / Liddle

100%

Abolish

20%

ICE

100%

Grocery

100%

Affordability

100%

$57k Vol.

Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?

No Change

$15k Vol.

Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?

chance

$28k Vol.

Epstein client list released in 2025?

chance

$127k Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets November 18 - November 25, 2025?

100-119

120-139

19%

140-159

25%

160-179

21%

180-199

14%

$5m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

39%

Christopher Waller

23%

Kevin Warsh

15%

Rick Rieder

12%

Scott Bessent

$8m Vol.

Maduro out by...?

November 30, 2025

December 31, 2025

17%

March 31, 2026

40%

$12m Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

14%

chance

$1m Vol.

Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?

chance

$142k Vol.

Speed Chess QF: Lazavik vs Niemann

100%

Lazavik

$19k Vol.

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ehud Barak

61%

David Koch

60%

David Copperfield

58%

Chuck Schumer

49%

Jimmy Kimmel

47%

$632k Vol.

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